Expert said EU’s turn towards Belarus and Russia inevitable

The EU is now announcing an increase in financial aid to Ukraine, but life itself will eventually force European countries to move away from this and begin to improve relations with Russia and Belarus – as stated by Aleksei Avdonin, an analyst with the Belarusian Institute for Strategic Research, in his talk with Alfa Radio

First of all, he noted that the West’s bet on Ukraine did not work and now it is starting to think about how to get out of the current situation with the least losses, “The West expected that due to the Ukrainian project, due to the war on the territory of Ukraine, they would weaken Russia from the political, economic and financial points of view, that a number of defaults would occur, including in our country. Remember how many times they announced that, due to sanctions, GDP in Belarus and Russia would fall by 20 percent. What does 20 percent mean? This means that about a million people could be unemployed. This is what they were waiting for, because a wave of unemployment automatically leads to unrest on the street. They were guided by this. Now they have actually lost the war in Ukraine, and most importantly, the political regime in Russia has not changed, i.e., what they hoped for did not work out. Now Europe understands that a protracted military crisis and a tense military situation on the territory of Ukraine lead to the erosion of all resources (economic, financial, military-technical) of the European Union itself. This can’t be continued. They must finish quickly, otherwise there will be a collapse. Otherwise, what they planned for Russia will boomerang back to them. That is, they will have a 20 percent drop in GDP. And it is they who will begin to change political regimes, and the extreme right may come to power. Socialists who will be oriented towards the working class may also come. That is, left or extreme left forces may be in power. And they [the current political elites of the EU] are very afraid of this.”

According to the expert, in this regard, one should not expect a sharp turn towards co-operation with Russia and Belarus, but over time the EU must definitely reconsider its policy in this regard.

“In principle, sooner or later the EU’s turn towards Belarus and Russia is inevitable, because all this is connected with a deep economic and financial crisis. If they do not want to plunge into a state of bankruptcy, protests and subsequent guillotines against their politicians, then they need to stabilise the situation. Moreover, they can do this only by closely establishing relations with Russia and Belarus. It is clear that they are not allowed to do this. European politicians are kept extremely tightly [under control] by the US and the UK. However, historical processes are complex, and most importantly, they always obey certain laws. At some stage, the nations of European countries may rise up and start a people’s liberation uprising, because Germany, Poland, the Baltic States, Ukraine are currently under occupation by the United States of America and Great Britain. The only way for them now is liberation from this control, from this dependence. Only in this way will they be able to restore their fortunes again. But this requires political forces, and most importantly, political will. So far we haven’t seen much of this political will. Yes, Hungary’s position is noteworthy, but the EU member states are primarily still forced to follow the US interests. However, we’ll see how the situation develops further.”