Study: India's population may exceed 2.2bn by mid-21st century
By the middle of this century, India may face an ecological and demographic crisis triggered by the growth of the country's population to 2.2 billion people – as stated by the Rector of Lomonosov Moscow State University, Viktor Sadovnichy, TASS reports
According to the expert, such assumptions are based on the analysis by university specialists of several mathematical models for forecasting processes in the economy, demography and healthcare. “There will be problems in India, and we will witness their peak in 2030-2040. This is our forecast, of which we warn as scientists,” he said at the Mathematics in Constellation of Sciences international scientific conference dedicated to the 85th anniversary of the Rector of Moscow State University celebrated on April 3rd.
Mr. Sadovnichy pointed to a graph where the projected population of India by the mid-21st century is estimated at 2.2bn+ people. The study notes that India and China ‘have come closest to the limits of environmental capacity’.
“Thanks to the introduction of a strict birth control in China, the demographic trajectory will make a smooth transition [from about 1.6 billion people in 2050] to a stationary level of 1.2 billion people [by 2100]. In turn, India may face a large-scale ecological and demographic crisis,” the scientist noted.
According to data updated in real time on the World Population Review portal, 1,438,498,364 people were registered in India on April 1st, 2024; in China, the figure stood at 1,425,334,609.
